Quote:
Originally Posted by russellw
It’s the end of another UK review period. They recorded 490,412 cases between 15-29/8 and 1,824 deaths between 30/8-13/9 for a CMR of 0.372%. That makes 1,930,516 cases over the 60 day review period and 5,668 deaths for an overall CMR of 0.294%. Extrapolated to a full year that would be 11.7M cases and 34,480 deaths at a rate of 66 deaths per 100k of adult population.
To put that into an Australian perspective:
If we had similar CMR and case rates to the UK we'd have about 4M cases and 11,936 deaths per annum well above the 900 deaths in a bad flu year like 2019.
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A good perspective Russ. Interesting that a bad flu year barely makes the news. Smoking kills 24000 a year in Australia (according to the Cancer Council)
UK was about 60% fully vacced at that time, so IF they (and we) get to 80% plus you can probably halve that number, to an extrapolated 5-6000 per year (and that is just the first few years, I am sure we will gain more immunity/updated and better vacc's as time goes on) I think society will decide that is ok, and if not then smoking will have to be banned too!